Cutting Edge Research Coastal Impact Study: Nation Under Siege and more background as well as G L O B A L W A R M I N G -- Think You're Making a Difference? Think Again on quiet huge increase in Coal burning.

Below is a complete listing of the articles in "How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic," a series by Coby Beck containing responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming. There are four separate taxonomies; arguments are divided by:

* Stages of Denial,
* Scientific Topics,
* Types of Argument, and
* Levels of Sophistication. **

Peak Oil + Climate Change both at PlanetForLife.com

RealClimate.org and Myth vs. Fact Regarding the "Hockey Stick" and On Yet Another False Claim by McIntyre and McKitrick

General background:

newer addition: now not only Bush's own EPA but the Bush government multi-agency report says humans cause cliimate change White House report says people cause global warming. By Maggie McKee

You would have a hard time knowing it listening to the mainstream media but here are some of the groups warning:

1) Statement warning about Global Warming by Thomas Karl, director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER, and Kevin Trenberth, head of the CLIMATE ANALYSIS SECTION at NCAR:

http://japan.usembassy.gov/e/p/tp-20031208-04.html

The scientists conclude that industrial emissions have been the dominant influence on climate change for the past 50 years, overwhelming natural forces.

USgovINFO.about.com with the same press release information as above but via the National Science Foundation.

2) AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION warns about climate change:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2003/12/18/MNGNV3PH9D1.DTL&type=science

What CNN may not tell you, even Christy, one of the so called "skeptics" admits this in the above article: "[Even Christy] is convinced that human activities are the major cause of the global warming that has been measured," and that "It is scientifically inconceivable that after changing forests into cities, turning millions of acres into farmland, putting massive quantities of soot and dust into the atmosphere and sending quantities of greenhouse gases into the air, that the natural course of climate change hasn't been increased in the past century.''" Yet he is quoted out of context as a "skeptic" in mainstream media (with Straw Men about 'let's not claim the world will end tomorrow" (which no one does) and the public still thinks there is a "debate" about whether climate change is real and furthermore, is mostly (see "the major cause" above and other similar quotes elsewhere) is mostly human caused.

3) WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION (WMO)

"Anecdotal evidence that the world's weather is getting wilder now has a solid scientific basis in fact following a dramatic global assessment from the World Meteorological Organization."

http://www.cnn.com/2003/WEATHER/07/03/wmo.extremes/

4) (this should be item #1, they are the largest body of experts in the world and one of largest the largest if not the largest open scientific peer review process in the world) The IPCC, the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change, http://www.ipcc.ch/ the largest group of climate experts in the world, conducting one of the largest (if not the largest) open, scientific peer-review in history. They warn with increasing gravity about climate change. (http://www.ipcc.ch/press/pr.htm) Lots of BBC stories, see "cuts of 50-70% are needed" in BBC citations below.

5) THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF SCIENCE, the most prestigious (and publisher of Science Magazine, one of the two most prestigious science journals (the other being the journal Nature):

"Climate experts urge immediate action to offset impact of global warming"

http://www.aaas.org/news/releases/2004/0616climateIntro.shtml

"Governments and consumers in the United States and worldwide should take immediate steps to reduce the threat of global warming and to prepare for a future in which coastal flooding, reduced crop yields and elevated rates of climate-related illness are all but certain, top U.S. scientists said Tuesday.

"At a meeting organized by AAAS [American Association for the Advancement of Science] and its journal, Science, the climate researchers argued that while some policy experts and sectors of the public dispute the risk, there is in fact no cause for doubt: The world is significantly warmer today than it was a century ago -- and it's getting warmer.."

Also (http://www.aaas.org/news/releases/2004/0616climate.shtml) They note that: "Scientists generally agree that temperatures are rising as a result of human activities such as fossil-fuel burning, which releases carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping greenhouse gases. This warming has caused glacial melting and subsequent increases in sea levels worldwide.."

The National Academy of Science Last June, another National Academy of Sciences panel of top U.S. scientists commissioned by the White House declared that global warming was a real problem and was getting worse. The panel said human activity was largely responsible

...the National Academy of Sciences report, Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions, begins: "Greenhouse gases are accumulating in Earth's atmosphere as a result of human activities, causing surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures to rise" {p. 1 in [5]). The report explicitly asks whether the IPCC assessment is a fair summary of professional scientific thinking, and answers yes: "The IPCC's conclusion that most of the observed warming of the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations accurately reflects the current thinking of the scientific community on this issue" (p. 3 in [5]).

6) that People are responsible for the spike in global warming in the last 30 years: "Our Changing Planet", research by 13 government agencies, signed by the president's secretaries of commerce and energy, along with his science adviser.

(On massive wave of extinction (not directly, but partially and indirectly due to climate change), the UK Academy of Science: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3039803.stm)

6) NewGlobal Warming Becoming an 'Urgent Priority' for Business Source: PR Newswire Sep 08, 2004 reports that the well known business group the Conference Board working with the merican Association for the Advancement of Science is taking climate change very seriously.

7) New: "There has been a strong warming trend over the past 30 years, a trend that has been shown to be due primarily to increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere," said James Hansen of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, based in New York. The warmest year on record was 1998, with 2002 and 2003 coming in second and third, respectively.

8) The statement will be made on Wednesday by the academies of the G8 nations, including the UK's Royal Society, the US National Academy, China and Brazil.

9) 'Clear' human impact on climate A scientific report commissioned by the US government has concluded there is "clear evidence" of climate change caused by human activities. 06 may 3rd

Picture:

more gif graphics http://www.visionlearning.com/library/module_viewer.php?mid=109&l=&c3=

http://www.daviesand.com/Choices/Precautionary_Planning/New_Data/IceCores1.gif

In 2003 CO2 went from 276 to 279 part per million in just one year, unprecendented.

History: http://www.physicstoday.com/vol-56/iss-8/p30.html

More an index of ecological related articles (mostly BBC World Service, often citing such journals at Science and Nature, often citing top world scientists) Read about the mass-deaths of birds already happening today, for example, not in some hypothetical future...

The first three quotes and website URLs below are references to the far under-reported fact that the world's scientific consensus (here is one example of 'percents' since you like to hear percents, even though, yes, it is a different perfect) is that we need cuts of 50 to 70 percent in greenhouse emissions to avoid 'dangerous' global warming, versus the 5% under Kyoto (which BBC reported is more like 3% with all the watering-down 'measures' added to get Japan et al to sign). This is not a good recipe for human survival, to put it mildly.

A-1) "At that meeting, developed countries agreed to cut their emissions by an average of 5% on 1990 levels. But it's not a done deal. The devil is in the detail. And it's this detail that'll determine how countries actually meet their targets.

But scientists are saying we need to go much further. Dr Graeme Pearman, Chief of CSIRO Atmospheric Research says we have to cut our current emissions by more than 60% if we're to stabilise carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere."

http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/earth/stories/s211808.htm

A-2) Signatories will by some time between 2008 and 2012 have to cut emissions to 5.2% below their 1990 levels.

But many scientists say cuts of around 60-70% will be needed by mid-century to avoid runaway climate change.

The convention's executive secretary, Ms Joke Waller-Hunter, told BBC News Online: "It's wrong to think the protocol will do so little that it's insignificant.

"It's a very important first step that can lead to much more far-reaching measures. Yes, it's a peanut [meaning a 5% cut is a small part of what's necessary] - but a vital one in the long run."

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3256604.stm

A-3) Though very few Americans know it, even the UK's conservative Royal Society for the Protection of Birds knows it:

"The RSPB says emissions cuts of 60% must be implemented by the middle of the 21st Century to slow down global warming. Developed countries have agreed so far [under Kyoto] to try [!] to reduce greenhouse emissions to 5.2% below their 1990 levels"

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/2349289.stm

"The RSPB said: 'As carbon emissions continue to increase, it is increasingly clear that far more has to be done in order to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations at a low level and slow down global warming. "', the ultimate objective of the climate convention - that human-induced climate change should be limited to a level that allows ecosystems to adapt naturally - will have been broken.'"

other

Rice yields dip as planet warms. Global warming could have a severe effect on rice production, say scientists working in the Philippines... rice yields drop by 10% for every degree of warming. 04 june BBC